By Paul Almond, 9 August 2003
Introduction
‘In heaven’s name, can we call anything human long? Even
if we lived as long as Arganthonius, the King of the Tartessi, who reigned, so
it is recorded, eighty years, and lived to the age of a hundred and twenty,
still, it seems to me, nothing that has an end is long.’
- An Essay on Old Age, Marcus Tullius Cicero (106-43BCE)
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Our limited lifespan is inconvenient at best. Let’s look for
a loophole! I want one that we can use now rather than one that someone else
can use in a few hundred years. I also want a loophole that involves artificial
intelligence (AI), mainly because this is an AI article.
I shall go through some possible loopholes and then discuss
what I shall call indirect mind uploading, the particular idea that is
the subject of this article.
Not dying in the first place
‘I don't want to achieve immortality through my work. I want to achieve it through
not dying.’
- Woody Allen
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If being dead is undesirable then not dying in the first
place seems to be a good way of trying to avoid ending up like this. Some
people think that this is quite achievable in the future, at least if one wants
to delay death for a very long time and not necessarily forever; others are
sceptical that it will ever be possible.
Proponents of the idea of using scientific knowledge to
delay death indefinitely can point to work in biochemistry that has lead to a
greater understanding of the basic mechanisms that control life and they can
also point to the idea of molecular nanotechnology [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
proposed by K. Eric Drexler. This idea involves acquiring the ability to build
structures to an accuracy of 1 nanometre (one millionth of a millimetre),
allowing machines to be built on the molecular scale. These machines would be
able to manipulate individual atoms and could easily synthesise new molecules
or make changes at the molecular level to biological systems. The hope is that
they could perform medical intervention at a much greater level than is
possible with our current ‘bulk matter handling’ technology.
There is one problem, though: I want to present a method
that people could use now and, whether one accepts the idea of nanotechnology
or not, all this would seem to require some science and technology that is not
available today.
Using cryonics to avoid staying dead
When a person dies, he/she is considered dead because the
body is severely damaged, but what is regarded as death depends on our ability,
or lack of it, to reverse the process. We no longer consider a person whose
lungs and heart have stopped to be necessarily dead because there is still a
chance of intervening to restore functioning to them, but if cardiopulmonary
resuscitation were not known to us we would probably declare death at this
point.
There may be some other conditions, now considered to be
death, which a future society will consider merely to be very serious forms of
damage, from which recovery is possible. This is of little help to us though;
soon after an individual dies, dissolution, or loss of the structure of the
body, tends to follow, presumably putting hopes of a cure beyond the reach of
any conceivable technology.
Ettinger [6] and Cooper [7] attempted to
address this problem in the 1960s by introducing the idea of cryonic
suspension [8]. (The word cryonics is a contraction of cryogenics,
which means the science of low temperatures.) The idea is actually quite
simple: when a person is considered dead, by our standards, the body is
preserved by means of extreme cold to prevent dissolution occurring, the idea
being that technology decades or centuries in the future will have advanced to
the point where the individual is no longer considered dead, but is merely
considered damaged and can be restored to health.
Reviving a person who has been preserved in this way would
not be trivial and cryonics advocates do not tend to pretend otherwise. For a
start, the individual would have whatever damage caused cessation of
functioning in the first place. He/she would also have a lot of secondary
damage that occurred as a result of cessation of functioning, for example, as a
result of cells in the body being deprived of oxygen. In addition the use of
low temperatures, typically provided by liquid helium or liquid nitrogen, to
preserve the individual seems likely to cause damage at the cellular level.
Proponents of cryonics suggest using chemicals that serve an antifreeze
function, preventing damage due to freezing, although these introduce some
complications. They point to the idea of molecular nanotechnology, mentioned
previously, and suggest that this would provide the capability to repair the
damage at a cellular level, allowing the individual to be thawed and revived.
I am not going to
discuss cryonics in detail here; after all, this article is examining life
extension from an AI perspective, but readers will be divided into two
categories: those who take the cryonics idea seriously and those who do not.
Even those who take it seriously would tend to admit that there are risks of
failure associated with it. If another solution could be found that could be
used in addition to cryonics it could be considered a plausible insurance
policy. For anyone who does not take the cryonics idea seriously, yet still
wants life extension, another solution is needed. In either case we could still
do with another loophole.
Using ‘mind uploading’ to avoid staying dead
‘There were millions of men, doomed in earlier ages, who
now lived active and happy lives thanks to artificial limbs, kidneys, lungs and
hearts. To this process there could be only one conclusion- however far off it
might be.
And eventually even the brain might go. As the seat of
consciousness, it was not essential; the development of artificial intelligence
had proved that.’
- 2001: A Space Odyssey, Arthur
C. Clarke (b. 1917CE)
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The cryonics idea suggests that life extension can be
achieved by preserving your brain and sending it into the future. The mind
uploading idea [9, 10] goes beyond this and suggests that, perhaps,
you can stay alive even after your brain is destroyed. The idea has been used
quite a lot in science fiction, a good example being Greg Egan’s novel Permutation
City [11], in which wealthy people use mind uploading to live in
virtual reality simulations after their biological lives have ended.
The process of mind uploading would be as follows:
- A
digital model of your brain would be created, using some advanced form of
scanning technology.
- The
digital model would be stored and used by an extremely powerful computer
as the basis of a computer simulation of the future behaviour of your
brain.
The suggestion here is that it is not important that your brain
itself survives and that your identity should be considered as associated with
the information describing your personality rather than with any
particular collection of matter. In this view, if something continues to exist
with the same memories and personality that you had then you can be regarded as
still being alive.
There are two main philosophical issues with mind uploading:
- the
strong AI issue: can computers be conscious and have minds in the same way
that we can?
- the
identity issue [12]: would the software model of you actually be you,
or would it merely be someone else who is acting like you?
For the purposes of this article, mind uploading has an
obvious weakness: neither the scanning technology to capture a digital
representation of a human brain with acceptable accuracy nor the computing
power to actually run a computer model derived from it are available now. If
you are planning on dying in the near future, unless there is a surprising
technological breakthrough, you will not have this process at your disposal.
The strong AI issue
Mind uploading relies on the idea that computers can be
conscious (whatever that means) and experience things as human beings
experience them. This is important: there would be little point in actually
trying to continue your consciousness by using a machine that could not
actually be conscious.
The term strong AI was given by John Searle, an
American philosopher, to the proposition that machines can be conscious and he
described it as follows:
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‘...according
to strong AI, the computer is not merely a tool in the study of the mind;
rather, the appropriately programmed computer really is a mind, in the sense
that computers given the right programs can be literally said to understand and
have other cognitive states. In strong AI, because the programmed computer has
cognitive states, the programs are not mere tools that enable us to test
psychological explanations; rather, the programs are themselves the
explanations.’ [13]
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The strong AI case would seem to imply that:
- consciousness
can be viewed as existing if symbols are being manipulated in the right
way by a physical device.
- consciousness
can be associated with the behaviour of a system. If a system is acting in
the right way, as determined by observations of its external behaviour, then
it can be viewed as being conscious, or as one scientist casually put it,
‘If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it is a duck.’
- if a
system were conscious then a properly constructed model of that system
would also be conscious, irrespective of how it was physically realised.
Computers can be built from semiconductors or wooden rods and string. The
strong artificial case would say that this choice of ‘matter substrate’
(the sort of physical technology that underpins the machine’s handling of
information) is philosophically irrelevant.
Searle also gives the term weak AI to the position
that computers are capable of modelling the behaviour of conscious entities.
Weak AI differs from strong AI in that it does not regard such computers as
necessarily conscious merely by virtue of them appearing to behave in the same
way, to an external observer, as systems that are conscious.
There are objections to the strong AI idea, some of them
made by Searle himself.
One objection, often associated with religion, is the idea
that consciousness cannot be caused by arranging matter in various ways and
that it involves something beyond the physical world or beyond human
understanding in some sense. The most obvious form of this objection is in the
claim that a machine ‘cannot have a soul’.
Roger Penrose, a British mathematician, objects to the
strong AI idea by suggesting that there must exist laws of physics which have a
non-computable nature and that no mere computer can simulate a system that
works according to these laws [14, 15]. By taking this position Penrose
also rejects the premise of weak AI. In itself, this does not automatically
make mind uploading impossible: there is a lot of criticism of Penrose’s
reasoning and, even if it is correct, we may still be able to copy a human mind
by using a machine that exploits these non-computable laws, instead of using a
computer.
Another objection to strong AI is the Chinese room
argument [16, 17] proposed by Searle, who rejects strong AI. This
seeks to show that consciousness and understanding cannot be regarded as
existing in a system merely because it is executing an algorithm that makes it
appear to behave in the right way. As with the work of Penrose, this attracts a
lot of criticism. Searle accepts that human brains are machines that are
capable of consciousness, but says that this does not mean that any
machine that can behave in the same way as a human brain experiences
consciousness. If we were to decide that Searle is correct, and I do not think
that he is, there would still be a last resort available of ensuring that the
copied human mind was uploaded into a suitable machine that would meet Searle’s
standards, in terms of its internal workings, for being able to experience
consciousness. For example, we might use molecular nanotechnology, or some
technology with similar capabilities, to construct something physically similar
to a human brain that is consistent with the information stored in the scanning
of the original human brain.
The identity issue
Even if strong AI is a reasonable idea then it could still
be suggested that a computer program that is running a copy of your mind is not
really your mind, but is merely a copy that lacks the status of the
original. If this pessimistic outlook were reasonable then mind uploading would
be futile because you would still die and be replaced by a completely different
individual who merely had a personality and memories that were similar to
yours.
It is easy to see why such an objection could occur: if your
brain is destroyed then anything else that is made to contain information from
your brain is clearly not your brain; it is less obvious, however, that
this means that it is not you. The whole issue here is one of what we
should regard as constituting a person: the brain or the information contained
in it.
The brain has long been regarded as the seat of
consciousness by modern medicine and the brain itself is not regarded as
something that can be sacrificed to help a person survive. Preserving the brain
is the main function of a doctor, although other body parts may be removed or
replaced to allow the brain to continue functioning. Should the brain itself
really be that important to us or would it make more sense to preserve the
description of a mind somehow? This really gives us two views of what is aimed
for in ‘survival’: in one view trying to survive means trying to keep your
brain intact and in the other view it means trying to ensure that the
information in your brain survives.
Gradual uploading and the identity issue
If you are sceptical about the idea of replacing the brain,
let us look at a slightly less severe process: gradual replacement of
the brain. Imagine this situation: you have some sort of degenerative brain
condition and your brain cells are gradually dying, starting with the ones that
perform simple autonomous functions in the body and eventually involving the
death of those that deal with your high level thoughts.
Each week you visit a hospital and your doctors cannot do
anything to prevent the gradual destruction of your brain, but they can
predict which brain cells are going to die next. They have found a way to grow
replacement brain cells and they can select any one of your brain cells and
grow a similar replacement which they can then painlessly implant in your
brain, replacing the original cell before it dies. When each replacement cell
is placed in your brain it is connected to the cells around it in the same way
as the original cell and duplicates its behaviour, so that your memories and
the organisation of your brain should remain intact. If your doctors wanted to
install a small number of these machines in your brain to replace cells that
they knew were going to die in the next few days, how would you respond to
this? Would you consider it to be of any benefit? Would you regard it as having
any ‘cost’ to your identity?
Let us imagine now that you continue to visit the hospital.
Your doctors replace only a very small number of your brain cells in each
visit, but your medical condition continues to deteriorate so that the doctors,
in desperation, replace more and more of your brain. Is there any cut-off point
at which you would say that the whole philosophy of the process is pointless
and that so much of your brain has been replaced that you have effectively been
killed?
If you think that gradual replacement of your brain’s matter
would destroy you then you should already have grounds for feeling
uncomfortable. Matter is routinely lost from the human body and replaced with
new matter. Over a period of a few years almost all of the matter in your
entire body is replaced. If you regard your identity as inextricably bound into
the matter that makes you up then, quite literally, you are not the person you
used to be: that person no longer exists and you are a reproduction, made from
different matter into which the structure of the older version of you has been
gradually copied. In a sense, this gradual replacement of matter in the human
body could be considered as equivalent to mind uploading. The matter from which
you are made now will not be part of your body in a few years, but there is
matter in the world now that will later be part of your body. Your biochemistry
relies, for preservation of you, on gradually uploading you into
the food that you eat!
Let us take this brain replacement a stage further now and
imagine that your doctors have developed an artificial brain cell that is
actually some sort of machine that simulates a brain cell. Each artificial cell
can be wired into the brain to replace a living cell and the way it interacts
with other brain cells, once installed, is exactly like a ‘real’ brain cell;
for example, it can synthesise chemicals that a real brain cell would release
and connects up to other cells in the same way. Would you regard this treatment
as much more drastic that the previous one, as far as preserving your identity
is concerned? If so, why? Once more, is there any specific point at which you
would say that you cease to exist during this process?
If you undergo such a process, and it is taken to its
natural conclusion, then you will be left with a brain containing artificial
neurons, each of which interacts, chemically and electrically, with its
environment. By this stage it should be apparent that you are well on the way
to actually becoming computer software. Emotionally, it may not seem like this:
after all some of the ‘messy’ aspects of your brain, such as exchange of
chemicals between various parts of it, have been preserved.
The process can be taken still further. Let us suppose now
that the artificial neurons start to fail and that no similar replacements are
available. Your doctors can, however, provide a device containing computer
software that simulates a pair of neurons that are next to each other, modelling
such things as exchanges of chemicals between them and transmission of
electrical signals. Your brain could be replaced gradually by these units, so
that the amount of real chemical activity in your brain, and the existence of
any actual wiring that reflects its original wiring, slowly diminishes. Once
this has occurred, the process could be repeated by gradually replacing each
pair of these units by a device that uses computer software to mimic their
behaviour, and so on…
Proceeding in gradual stages, you would have made the
transition from being a flesh and blood human being to a computer program, but
what if the computer on which you were running developed a fault? Would it be
acceptable to replace various components of that machine? Would you regard
being copied, suddenly or gradually, to another machine as acceptable?
I invite you to form your opinions on just how far you could
go with such a process and still be you. I did not mention all this as
proof that mind uploading is a viable survival strategy; I discussed it to try
to show that the issue of transfer human minds into computer programs is not as
philosophically clear-cut as some people might think when they casually remark
that the replacement would not be you.
Using ‘indirect mind uploading’ to avoid staying dead
I use the term indirect mind uploading for a second
method of attempting to preserve the mind as a computer model that does not
actually rely on any sophisticated scanning technology, as opposed to the
‘conventional’ ways of mind uploading, previously discussed, that I shall refer
to as direct mind uploading.
The concept of indirect mind uploading was used by a science
fiction writer, Alastair Reynolds. In his novel Revelation Space [18],
he referred to a computer model produced in this way as a beta-level
simulation and this is how he introduced it:
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‘Simply put, he arranged to have every subsequent second
of his life monitored by recording systems. Every second: waking, sleeping,
whatever. Over the years machines learned to predict his responses with
astonishing accuracy.’
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In Reynolds’s story his character, living centuries in the
future, has made a model of his mind, not by scanning the internal workings of
his brain, but by having very powerful computers analyse recordings of his
experiences and behaviour. The idea here is that the machines are given the
task of producing a model of a brain based on external observations of its
responses to inputs.
How indirect mind uploading could work
To explore how this would work, we will start by considering
the problem of getting computers to make human-type minds. Let us imagine that
at some time in the future we want a computer to provide a model of a human
brain, complete with the memories, skills and personality that it contains.
Ideally, we would have a lot of information about how brains
work and we would be able to provide this information to our computer. This
information would not, of course, describe any individual brain and there are a
lot of possible brain models that could be produced from it.
We are dealing with the set of every possible human brain,
with every possible set of experiences that a brain could have. There are a lot
of possible brains that we can imagine, each of which has had a different life
and different experiences. Somewhere in this vast search space, in this set of
possible minds, would be the brains of typical twenty-first century people.
Elsewhere in this set are medieval minds and minds of humans who have memories
of inhabiting all kinds of strange fantasy realms that do not actually exist,
and somewhere in it is a description of your mind as it is now.
Let us first imagine that we want our computer to ‘find’
your mind in this set. We could start by instructing it to select one of these
possible minds at random. This mind is unlikely to have much resemblance to
yours; there are simply too many possible brains that can exist, but what if we
could give the computer some information to limit its search? Let us suppose that we decided to limit the
computer to selecting only from those minds that could have been produced by
living in the sort of environment that you inhabit. This would eliminate
medieval minds and all those weird minds that contain memories of living on
strange planets with flying dragons and so forth. What would emerge now is a
model of the mind of a randomly selected fictional twenty-first century person.
Of course, this would still not be very similar to yours: there are a lot of
minds that we can imagine that are consistent with someone who has lived in the
twenty-first century, but there would now be greater resemblance with your
mind.
Let us now suppose that we took this further and started to
provide very specific information about you; for example, we could use your
school report card from when you were eleven years old, any letters that you
have written that are available, your bank statements and so forth. If you have
kept a diary this would be excellent. We could now give our computer these
instructions:
We have this information about a specific human and this
information about how human brains work. Search the set of possible human
brains and ‘find’ us a brain, subject to the constraint that it must be
consistent with the experiences and behaviour for the specific human that we are
considering.
At the end of this search the computer would provide a model
of a fictional brain that could exist and we could use a computer to run a
simulation based on this model. This brain would now have much more similarity
with yours: it would be one of the possible brains that a human could have if
he had lived in the twenty-first century, received the same school report when
he was eleven years old, had the same spending habits and wrote exactly the
same diary. I suggest that the mind described by this model, while it would not
be exactly the same as yours, would still have much in common with it.
If you accept mind uploading as a means of life extension
then you have already accepted that you can regard yourself as continuing to
exist if something sufficiently like you continues to exist. If this is the
case then there are good philosophical grounds for accepting the model obtained
by indirect mind uploading as being you, at least to some degree,
as it would have some resemblance to your mind and the model of your mind that
would have been generated by scanning it in direct mind uploading.
In principle, if we observed the external behaviour of a
mind for long enough, and used the observations to generate a computer model,
then that model would be equivalent to the model that would have resulted from
direct (that is to say, ‘conventional’)
mind uploading anyway, making any discussion about the validity of the model
being dependent upon its origins pointless. Given this, it seems reasonable to
think that a person who accepts mind uploading as being a valid way of
extending his/her life should also think that making a model based on
observation of a person is also desirable, the desirability increasing as the
detail of the observations on which the model is based increases.
The implication of this is obvious: if we could make a large
number of observations of a human and then use these to create a plausible
computer model of that person’s mind, and if the detail with which the person
was observed was high enough, the computer model created in this way may be
close enough to the real person’s mind that we may actually consider his/her
identity to have been copied into the computer model to a significant degree.
This seems to suggest that indirect mind uploading, in which we do not
need sophisticated means of scanning the brain’s structure, but instead base
the modelling on large numbers of external observations, may actually be seen
by a rational human as being a viable way of keeping his/her personal identity
in existence after the destruction of his/her biological brain.
We can now consider how to get the massive number of
observations needed to cause a very high similarity between the model that
results from indirect mind uploading and the original biological brain on which
it was based.
So far, I have suggested that any documents relating to your
life would help in a ‘reconstruction’ and a personal diary would make a huge
difference by eliminating large numbers of possible minds that could not
plausibly have written that diary. We now need to add more observations. Each
time we add any new data to our collection large numbers of ‘possible models of
your mind’ are eliminated and we get closer to our goal of creating a computer
model that resembles, as closely as possible, your mind at the time when this
gathering of data ended. For this reason, we should try to use methods that
create a large amount of data.
Audio recording of your activities and experiences,
particularly conversations in which you take part, would make a significant
difference, so carrying some sort of audio recording device around and using it
as often as possible would seem to be useful. Video recording of as much of
your life as possible would be even better, perhaps by wearing a small video
camera which can record events in approximately your field of view and obtain a
reasonable sort of record of the sorts of things that are happening to you.
How accurate would indirect mind uploading be?
Audio and video recording alone would seem to demand that
any computer model built, based on that information, resemble you to a very
significant degree. This may sound unreasonable to some people who might say,
‘That cannot be me. Even if it remembers saying everything that I ever said, it
has not actually been made by looking inside my head. It will be nothing like
me.’ To such people I would say this:
Imagine someone else existing who has memories and a mind
consistent with having experienced situations similar to yours and having made
the same sorts of decisions in response to them. How similar would that person
be to you? Now imagine this person having a mind consistent with having said everything
that you said over a number of years, not just with regard to the words spoken,
but even with regard to their inflexion and the duration of pauses between
them. Furthermore, imagine this other person’s mind being consistent with
having made the same gestures that you have made at various times to a high
degree of accuracy, possibly even moving the same way while sleeping. How
similar would this person’s mind be to yours? Surely, this other person would
have a very high degree of similarity with you, possibly enough so that
any process that can create such a mind can be considered to be creating a
continuation of your mind.
Using indirect mind uploading now
Creating a copy of a human mind in this way would require
much more powerful computers than we actually have now; indeed, in Reynolds’s
book, his character attempts his indirect mind uploading process centuries in
the future.
There is, however, one way in which it may actually be
possible for an individual who is alive now to use this technique. The idea is
certainly not new: the idea of reconstructing a human mind from archived data
about a human life appears to have occurred to a number of people, including
Timothy Leary (1920–1996CE), a
psychologist who is probably better known for advocating the use of
hallucinogenic drugs.
The process would have two stages: recording of the data and
using computers to generate the model from the data. It may be possible to
record the data today, which, after all, merely involves making such
things as audio and video recordings that could be captured by conventional
equipment, possibly with some modifications to enhance portability and
convenience, and then storing the data for a period of time, during which
computing power will increase to such an extent that it will be able to use the
data to construct a mind from it. The hope would be that the data recorded today
could be used to make a mind in the future, effectively achieving what
may be regarded, to some extent, as an uploading of the mind of a person living
today, without any technology beyond our own being required until centuries
after biological death.
The sort of increase in computing power that would be
required to do this is one that we can expect to arrive at some time in the
future if progress in computing science continues in any way like it has done
so far. In 1965 CE> Gordon Moore
published what is now widely regarded as a classic paper [19] observing
that the number of transistors on a microchip doubled every twelve months. This
is known as Moore’s law. If Moore’s law continues to hold even
approximately true then we can expect this exponential increase in computing
power to deliver massive computing resources in the foreseeable future.
Pessimists could comment that there appear to be fundamental
limits on semiconductor microchip fabrication. Microchips are made by
projecting a photo-reduced image onto the surface of the chip and as smaller
transistors are required the wavelength of the radiation required to do this
decreases, making the radiation harder to focus. If progress with existing
manufacturing methods continues for long enough we will eventually find
ourselves with the problem of trying to focus X-rays. No viable method is known
for focusing X-rays, nor is one likely to be available soon; this problem is
known informally as the wall. Of course, progress might not even
continue as far as this: the difficulty and costs could become prohibitive well
before X-rays are needed. This, in itself, need not mean that improvement in
computing hardware slows down for any appreciable period of time; such a
problem will drive research into new ways of building computers and when the
transfer to new forms of technology is made then progress could actually occur much
more rapidly than is predicted by Moore’s law.
An obvious question here is: how much information would you
need to preserve about yourself for indirect mind uploading to be viable? There
is no easy answer; every item of data that is stored eliminates many
hypothetical versions of you that would not match those criteria and ‘as
much as possible’ would seem to be the rule. A diary would be highly advisable,
as would copies of any emails that you send and audio recordings. Video
recording, both from roughly your own point of view and, occasionally, from
cameras mounted in various places, if the equipment could be afforded, would be
even better.
A person who was ambitious about getting ‘properly’ uploaded
could go even further by incorporating pulse readings and similar sorts of
measurements. A DNA sample would probably help to eliminate minds that could
not have resulted from your particular genetic code and preserving DNA for long
periods of time is now quite cheap. Although current brain scans do not capture
enough information to allow a sufficiently accurate computer model of the mind
to be made, this does not necessarily mean that brain scans would be useless:
if you really wanted to spend money, the data from occasional brain scans,
stored with the other data about your life, might be significant in eliminating
large numbers of possible minds that could not possibly have had those
particular brain scan results in their pasts.
How the model could be generated
We will now look at how the archived data, documenting a
person’s experiences and actions, might be used to construct a computer model.
This discussion will be necessarily vague, because we have incomplete knowledge
of how to make models. Generating models from observations is major problem in
artificial intelligence, but our own brains are quite good at it, which
suggests that solutions to modelling problems are at least possible. Nevertheless,
it is possible to speculate now about how it might be done, and a possible
method is as follows:
The process has to generate a model of the brain and, to a
limited extent, the world in which the brain existed. This is because the data
that is archived will only be partial. There will gaps in the recordings,
especially before the recording of data actually started. The data is also of
limited resolution. As examples: video recordings will not indicate exactly how
the each individual receptor in your eye was stimulated by light and audio
recordings will not indicate the nerve impulses that your brain transmitted to
speak words.
The first step could be to create a physics model.
This would allow another process to use it to perform general simulations of
reality. The physics model would be constructed by using what is known about
how things behave in reality at a general level. It would contain various
assumptions about basic things such as the laws of nature.
The next step would be to create a general world model.
This would use the physics model to simulate the sorts of things that are
encountered by humans in the world and it would make use of the physics model
to achieve this. It would also contain assumptions, as the physics model does,
but these would be at a higher, more abstract level.
Following this, a time-specific world model would be
made. This would use the general world model and would enable a higher-level
process to use it to simulate the world at the specific period of history in
which the person (whose recorded data we are analysing) actually lived. The
time-specific world model would not contain specific details about the person’s
experiences; it would simply be derived from what is known about the world
during that period of history.
As well as simulating the environment in which the person’s
brain existed, we also need to simulate the brain itself; in fact, this is the
main objective. To do this there would be a general brain model that
could be used by a higher-level process to simulate a human brain. This model
would not contain information about any particular human brain; rather, it
would be made it by using what is known about human brains in general.
The ultimate goal of the process is to simulate a human mind
and its environment. To this end there would be a person-specific brain
model that can simulate a specific human brain. The person-specific brain
model would contain assumptions about the specific brain that it is simulating
and it would also make use of the general brain model. There would also be a person-specific
world model, which would simulate the world as experienced by a particular
human being. The person-specific world model would contain some assumptions
about the environment inhabited by a particular person and the sorts of things
that can happen in it and it would make use of the time-specific world model.
The person-specific brain model and the person-specific
world model would interact with each other. The person-specific brain model
would produce, as outputs, the nerve impulses that the individual may use to
control his body and these would be transmitted to the person-specific world
model as an indication of the actions of the individual in his/her environment.
The person-specific world model would, in turn, provide outputs in the form of
the sensory nerve signals that would be received by the person’s brain in that
environment and these would be sent to the person-specific brain model. In this
way, the two models would work together to simulate the thought processes and
behaviour of a human, as well as the events that happened in his/her
environment.
Some of the simpler parts of this system can be made by
using knowledge that is already available about the world, but the
person-specific brain model and the person-specific world model are not as easy
to make. For the process to have any point at all they need to be consistent
with the data that was recorded about the individual’s life. This means that
they need to be made by analysing this recorded data.
It is possible to state a criterion that the person-specific
world and brain models must satisfy. Just as recorded data was obtained about
the original person’s life, it would be possible, by running these models, and
also using the other modelling systems mentioned above, to generate the
recorded data that would have resulted if these models had accurately described
the person. The criteria that needs to be satisfied is simple: both the
original archives from which we are working (made by recording the original
person’s biological life) and these archives obtained from running the model
must be the same for a given combination of person-specific brain and world
models to be valid.
To put the above idea more simply: if we have a possible
model describing someone’s life and experiences, and we run that model so that
it relives the experiences of that person, then what that model describes the
person doing and experiencing must match with the information we already have
about what the original person did and experienced.
This criterion would allow a lot of possible models to be
eliminated, but there are two problems:
- An
exhaustive search of all possible models until we happened to find one
that meets this criterion would be impractical. It would take too long.
- There
will actually be an infinite number of possible models that meet this
criterion: for any model that we can find that meets it we will always be
able to produce a number of more complicated variations of that model that
also meet it.
How do we deal with these problems? The first one must be
dealt with by using a search method that does not involve generating and
checking every possible model. The second problem needs a method of selecting
the most plausible model from all of the possible models.
One way that this could be achieved is to start by
expressing the model in very vague terms, only assigning very general qualities
to it. If the degree of generalisation is adequate then there would be a
limited number of such models available and all of them could be checked. There
is no point checking each such model to see if it satisfies the criterion of
consistency with the recorded data: it is an incomplete model and cannot be
expected to do this. For each partial model, we should, however, make an estimate
of the number of complete models that could be made, which have the same
general characteristics of the partial model that we are testing and that would
be consistent with the recorded data. When we have tested all the possible ways
of setting up general characteristics of the model we would select the one that
we estimate to have the largest number of complete models with the same
characteristics that are consistent with the recorded data. We would then
continue the process, by adding more characteristics to this partial model,
testing at each stage for the number of complete, consistent models that are
available with the characteristics that we are trying.
Some readers will recognise such a computation as equivalent
to Occam’s razor, the philosophical idea that scientific models should contain
as little as possible. It would be not be a trivial computation to perform: it
would require more information than we currently have about model generation to
do it really well and would merit an article in itself. However, human brains
can construct sophisticated models of reality so we have reason to believe that
such sophisticated modelling processes can be performed.
This process would continue, with the person-specific brain
and world models being selectively refined until they reach an acceptable
standard. The brain model would finally
be run through the simulation process (as would have happened many times during
the testing process) so that it reaches the state that it has when it is
modelling the original brain at the time when the recording ended (which, if
the person whose archives these are has been very thorough, will actually be
the time at which biological life ended). The interface between the brain model
and the world model would now be removed and the brain model would have its
inputs and outputs connected to either the real world or a virtual reality
simulation. It would then continue modelling the brain’s response to this
environment past the point at which the recording ended. The brain model
is now being used to perform a simulation of the original person’s behaviour
after the time at which he/she actually died. If it is reasonable to view the
computer model as being conscious and to view the similarity between the
computer model and the original person as giving it some of the original
person’s identity then it would make sense to say that the original biological
person has had his mind preserved and is still experiencing things after
his/her biological death. The goal of using AI to avoid staying dead would
therefore have been satisfied.
As an aside here, it will also occur to some readers that a
process of this nature is likely to involve running a very large number of
models of various versions of you in various simulated worlds for test purposes;
if you are considering actually making archives of your life at some point in
the future then an extremely paranoid speculation, and one that I find amusing,
could occur to you now about your current status.
Confidentiality of information
Having all this information recorded about you could cause
problems. There would be a lot of personal and confidential details and having
large periods of your life stored so that people could access that data today
could have unpleasant consequences. On the other hand, we would need to make
sure that whoever wants to reconstruct your mind in the future could get
at the data. Fortunately, there is a simple solution.
Encryption techniques are well developed. These rely on
having a decryption key to decode the data. The decryption key is made long
enough so that repeated attempts to guess it are not likely to succeed in any
reasonable period of time.
Any attempt to use this method now would rely on much faster
computers existing in the future and they would be able to solve some
encryption problems that are practically unsolvable for current computers. All
that is necessary is to encrypt the data in such a way that the decryption key
is too long to make decryption feasible in the near future, but not so long
that it would be difficult to break for someone in the future who has computers
powerful enough to model human minds. The decryption key would not be stored
anywhere, making the encryption process effectively one way in the absence of
computers of adequate power; in fact, decryption of the data need not even be
possible for the person who set this up, as he would not need to know a
decryption key.
Encryption would be used in this way as a sort of time lock,
to protect secrets until computing capability has reached a certain level in
the future. Security of the information could therefore be assured, at least in
the short term, quite easily.
The idea of using encryption as a time lock has already been
proposed by Ronald L. Rivest, Adi Shamir and David Wagner [20], who also
state that this issue has been previously discussed by Timothy C. May. This
work has a slightly different focus than the one being used here. Rivest,
Shamir and Wagner proposed encrypting information so that a long period of
computation would be needed before it could be decrypted, so that approximately
the required time would have elapsed when the computation was complete; their
method proposes compensating for expected improvements in processing rates.
They also proposed encrypting in such a way as to make the required decryption
process highly sequential so that little, if any, reduction in the time for a
solution could be achieved by using parallel processing.
In the way that it is being used here, an encryption time
lock would not be designed with compensation for future increases in
processing ability: it would be designed to explicitly require those
future processing rates to perform a decryption in any reasonable time, so the
emphasis would be slightly different. It may not be necessary to force the
decryption process to be sequential, because, whereas in the scheme of Rivest,
Shamir and Wagner, someone who has got his hands on a massive number of
parallel processors may be about to try to cheat and decrypt the data too soon,
in this scheme such a person may have just the sort of processing needed to
recreate a human mind; we are more concerned with how much processing power
people in a future society have than when they do the decryption; older
cryptographic systems, such as those devised by Ralph Merkle [21], may
be more suitable for this purpose.
The privacy of people you meet is another issue entirely. If
you are recording your own life in minute detail then you will incidentally be
recording a lot of details about other people who interact with you. Some of
these people may not like their personal conversations and habits being sent
into the future. It may be difficult to negotiate some sort of agreement with
all these people; it would be a lot easier not to tell them of course.
Motivation
There is some element of chance in a process of this nature.
Even if the philosophy and technological ideas are sound, you still have to
rely on someone in the future wanting to go to the trouble of recreating you.
It would seem reasonable to assume, however, that, if this sort of process is
possible at all, the computing capability needed to perform it will be
inexpensive one day and, of course, being conventionally cremated or buried
without making any attempt to preserve your brain or mind is a fairly dangerous
process if you plan on coming back.
Another concern may be relevant: what about the possibility
of your mind being reconstructed by a future society for motives that are not
in your best interests? A future society could potentially reconstruct you as
an altruistic gesture or may do it merely to demonstrate technical capability
or to use the software model for entertainment, education or historical
research. On the other hand, these possibilities may not be too bad; being
reconstructed by a society of trans-human ultra-sadists with an interest in
twenty-first century history would be bad.
As a word of warning, if any readers are engaged in war
crimes or other such deeds and are thinking of trying this method, it could be
a serious error of judgement: a software version of you, created in the distant
future, could conceivably find that it has been resurrected merely to answer
extremely serious charges…
Indirect mind uploading versus other methods
Indirect mind uploading may appear to be a competitor to
cryonic suspension. Both have the same feature: the preservation of something,
whether it is a human brain or information, with the hope that it can be used
by a future society to continue your life.
There is not really any such competition. If an individual
decides that the chance of revival from cryonic suspension is too low to
justify using any resources on it, then he/she can make this decision
independently of any consideration of mind uploading; however if an individual
decides that cryonic suspension is worthwhile he can pursue this, also
independently of any decision he makes about indirect mind uploading.
An individual who has signed up for cryonic suspension may
also create the archives needed for indirect mind uploading for another reason.
Such archives may allow indirect uploading to be attempted if the cryonic
method fails, but there is a possible extra use for them: if the cryonic method
is only partially successful and allows a revival with substantial loss of
information about the brain’s structure then it is possible that the computer
model generated by indirect mind uploading could be used as a reference for
making adjustments to such things as the strengths of connections between
neurons in the brain. In this way, indirect mind uploading may complement
cryonic suspension by increasing the accuracy and reliability of cryonic
preservation of a human personality.
There is also no conflict between indirect uploading and
direct uploading (in which the brain is actually scanned). If direct mind
uploading were available, with a sufficiently safe and reliable method, then it
would be used in preference to indirect mind uploading. Data is only likely to
be recorded for indirect mind uploading while direct mind uploading is not
available.
Editing your own archives
There is one idea that would occur to almost anyone who was
attempting indirect uploading of him/herself: would it be possible, by editing
your archives, or selectively withholding information from them, to modify the
reconstructed version of yourself in a desirable way?
Let us say, for example, that you would like to be a nicer
person. Maybe you could alter the information in your archives so that you
appear to help friends more, make a lot of donations to charity and so forth?
It would be easy to edit diaries in this way. If you are making audio-visual
recordings of your life it may be more difficult, but not impossible. The
intention would be that the reconstructed version of you would be one that has
led your life, except just a little more generously. As another example, let us
imagine that you are committing a small crime on a regular basis, for example
stealing small items of stationery from a place where you work, and that you
would rather not be, after reconstruction, the person who had done this. It
would be a relatively simple matter to ensure that any recording devices were
turned off while performing such acts. You would also have to make sure that
you did not mention these things when they were turned back on, of course! This
could actually be a bad idea. If you are reconstructed then it is very likely
going to be by making the ‘most plausible’ model. Getting this to be as close
as possible to you is the main goal and interfering may not give the results
that you want.
For a start, there is a clear problem of interpretation: if
you use recording devices and turn them off at 10:30pm on every Monday evening then
the information that you turn off the recording devices every Monday is in
itself data and could be considered as providing some of the constraints
that the history of your ‘new’ mind must satisfy, even without the data being
there itself. If your recording is really good then your hand may even be video
recorded pressing the ‘off’ switch every Monday night. Even if this information
is not recorded, the gaps created in your archives could be used to infer that
you acted to prevent recordings at various times, unless the computer which was
reconstructing you was specifically instructed to disregard this.
Let us suppose that the computer that reconstructs you is
programmed to disregard any gaps in the recording. It would have to take
account of them, but it could fill them in with the most plausible memories
that could be constructed from the other data that it has, just as it would
have to do so for any memories of what you experienced before you actually
started archiving your life. This may still not be an advisable action.
The degree to which the loss of that information affects the accuracy of the
reconstruction would depend on the importance of it in terms of evidence that
it provides about your mind and you may omit something trivial that turns out
to be very important. This could be worse than the unwanted gaps that will
occur due to starting the archiving partway through life, batteries running out
and so forth, because it introduces a consistency to the way in which
information is withheld from the archives. Normally, if a particular experience
were omitted from the archives there would probably be extra evidence of it
somewhere else, or similar sorts of experiences that could affect the model in
similar ways. Deliberately withholding certain types of information, however,
could have a much more dramatic effect on the accuracy of the reconstruction.
Courses of action
What you should decide to do, when thinking about the
possibility of indirect mind uploading depends on the philosophical opinions
that you have:
- If you have no aversion to being dead, then none of this matters.
- If you think that a computer can never be conscious in the same way that you
are and you also reject the idea that the information from your archives
could be placed in any conscious machine, then you should view mind
uploading of any type (direct or indirect) as futile, at least with regard
to preserving your mind.
- If you think that computer consciousness is possible, or that some sort of
conscious machine could be produced, but that a model of your mind,
complete with your memories, would not be a continuation of your identity,
then you should again view any sort of mind uploading as futile.
- You may find the concept of mind uploading as a way of preserving a human
identity to be reasonable, but you may still find indirect uploading
futile if you think that the differences between the software model and
your own mind should preclude viewing it as a continuation of your own
identity.
- If you find the concept of indirect mind uploading to be workable, then this
does not mean that you should automatically invest resources in actually
archiving your life: there are still the issues of motivation in the
future to be considered. Furthermore, if you decide that archiving for
indirect mind uploading is reasonable and desirable this does not mean
that you should rely on it as the only way of continuing your identity.
Conclusion
The idea has been discussed that recording a lot of
information about your life and storing this information so that it is
available in the future, after your biological death, could allow a software
model of your mind to be constructed by using very powerful computers available
in the future. Although such a computer model would not resemble your mind in
every detail it would still be very similar to your mind and there may be good
grounds, if this happens, for regarding yourself as still being alive.
This method has a distinct advantage over other suggestions
for copying minds: it requires no technological advances to capture the data
and this could be done now, so that the data could be used in the future.
Philosophical issues do arise. The two most important issues
are the ones that are relevant in discussions of direct uploading, that is to
say the more ‘conventional’ method proposed for copying human minds:
- the
strong AI issue: can computers be conscious and have minds in the same way
that we can?
- the
identity issue: would the software model of you actually be you, or
would it merely be someone else who is acting like you?
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